Top Election Forecast Warns Trump: It May Appear Like He Will Win At First, Only To Lose Later

Donald Trump
Source: Yahoo Money
Biden and Trump
Source: Axios

The data firm called ‘Hawkfish’ that ‘Axios‘ that although President Trump may appear to have won, he will eventually end up losing the elections.

Why Is The Warning Not In Favour Of Trump?

What needs to be understood is that about 40% of the voters will vote by mail. This means that there is a two-time increase as compared to the polling done for the 2016 elections.

Out of that 40%, 50% will be casting their votes for Joe Biden while only 20% will be supporting Trump. This can easily result in a massive lead for the President on the night of the elections. But a huge pile of mail will still be yet to be counted.

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Warning Is Issued To Prevent Potential Chaos

Donald Trump
Source: aviralbox

This is likely to cause massive unrest among US citizens.

So, Mendelson further says the firm is doing the job of sounding an alarm to show that this can indeed take place.

But “When every legitimate vote is tallied…it will show that what happened on election night was…a mirage. It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted.”

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One of the firm’s model, based on a nationwide poll of more than 17,000 voters, shows that Trump could indeed hold the lead. The lead will be as high as 408 to 130 electoral votes, but this will only account for 15% of the total votes by mail. This many votes will likely be counted by the 3rd of November.

But, ultimately the lead can be in favour of Biden within four days, since, by then, 75% of the mail votes will be tallied.

The model depicts that Biden would eventually win 334 votes, while Trump wins about 204.

This might happen because the model predicted that the states would count about 25% of their mail ballots per day. This is what is expected to give rise to a delay of about four days.

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I am a girl from Assam, India. I am currently pursuing my Masters in English Literature from The English and Foreign Languages University, Hyderabad (EFLU). I am working as an intern for the content writing position at 'The Tech Education'. I have been writing on a wide range of topics, starting from politics to Hollywood celebrity news to some latest news as well. I would love to pursue content writing as a job in the future. Personally, I love writing whatever strikes my mind. I am an ardent fan of 'Harry Potter' and 'Friends'. One of my favorite hobbies is to read fiction novels. I love books by Dan, Brown, Agatha Christie, Arthur Conan Doyle, Jane Austen, J.K. Rowling, Sidney Sheldon, Amish Tripathi, Lauren Weisberger, and the list goes on.